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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+116/-152).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, Trevor Lawrence is anticipated by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 46.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.
  • Trevor Lawrence's throwing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 66.2% to 63.2%.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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