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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-128/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.5% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

At the moment, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Jaguars.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jaguars last year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Trevor Lawrence to throw 36.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dolphins safeties rank as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league last year in defending receivers.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

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