Trevor Lawrence TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

TD Passes

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 136.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a staggering 64.2 per game on average).
Trevor Lawrence has attempted 36.6 passes per game this year, grading out in the 79th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The the Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
This year, the tough Indianapolis Colts defense has given up a meager 1.00 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.

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