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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Trevor Lawrence profiles as one of the best quarterbacks in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an impressive 3.23 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New England's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 4th-least run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 35.9% run rate.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.

Trevor Lawrence has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (13.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

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