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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 10th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Trevor Lawrence's 6.91 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season shows a noteable growth in his rushing ability over last season's 5.96 figure.
  • With a remarkable total of 3.47 yards-after-contact (94th percentile), Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the leading rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.
  • The Bears linebackers rank as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Trevor Lawrence has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this season (8.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.7%).
  • Trevor Lawrence's 12.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates an impressive drop-off in his running skills over last season's 22.0 mark.

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