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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

While Trevor Lawrence has earned 8.4% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Jacksonville's run game in this week's contest at 13.4%.

Trevor Lawrence's 8.65 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a significant improvement in his rushing talent over last year's 5.96 figure.

With a remarkable tally of 3.85 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the best rushing QBs in the league this year.

The opposing side have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (163 per game) versus the Colts defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least run-centric offense in the league (37.9% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Trevor Lawrence has averaged just 1.8 rush attempts per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (25th percentile).

Trevor Lawrence has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the league.

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