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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.2 plays per game.

Trevor Lawrence's ground effectiveness (6.29 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (88th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).

Trevor Lawrence comes in as one of the leading quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an exceptional 3.31 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 88th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to run on 37.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

After accounting for 13.7% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Trevor Lawrence has been called on less the running game this season, currently making up only 8.3%.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

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