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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trevor Lawrence has generated 22.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (75th percentile).

Trevor Lawrence's rushing efficiency (6.42 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (90th percentile among QBs).

With an excellent total of 3.43 yards-after-contact (87th percentile), Trevor Lawrence rates among the top rushing quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Buffalo Bills run defense has given up a mere 4.60 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 23rd-best rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Jaguars, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the projections to run just 60.4 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may slide.

In this week's game, Trevor Lawrence is anticipated by the model to accrue the fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 3.6.

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