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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.

In totaling a whopping 3.5 carries per game since the start of last season, Trevor Lawrence rates among the top QBs in the league (76th percentile) as it relates to running volume.

Trevor Lawrence has picked up 21.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among QBs (76th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 8th-least run-focused team in the NFL (37.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Trevor Lawrence has been a less important option in his offense's running game this season (3.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.7%).

The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

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