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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the leading QBs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an exceptional 2.49 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 87th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.

The model projects the Jaguars as the 10th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 41.2% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Trevor Lawrence has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).

Trevor Lawrence's rushing efficiency has diminished this year, totaling just 4.90 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.96 mark last year.

This year, the daunting Houston Texans run defense has yielded a puny 105.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 8th-best in the NFL.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

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