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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jaguars last year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).

In logging a massive 3.7 rush attempts per game last year, Trevor Lawrence rates among the top quarterbacks in football (79th percentile) in regards to ground game usage.

Comprising 13.6% of his team's run game usage last year (78th percentile among QBs), Trevor Lawrence's mobility makes him a serious weapon in Jacksonville's rushing attack.

Trevor Lawrence has grinded out 22.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (79th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 38.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing squads have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 99.0 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense last year.

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in the league last year in regard to defending the run.

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