Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
Trevor Lawrence has averaged 4.8 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in football when it comes to quarterbacks (77th percentile).
Comprising 17.3% of his offense's rush attempts this year (82nd percentile among quarterbacks), Trevor Lawrence's mobility makes him a dangerous weapon on the ground.
Trevor Lawrence has run for a lot more yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).
The Bills safeties rank as the 31st-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 7th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Jaguars O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football last year at opening holes for runners.

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