Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense as the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
The predictive model expects Trevor Lawrence to accrue 4.6 carries in this contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
Making up 17.3% of his team's rush attempts this year (82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Trevor Lawrence's mobility marks him as a significant weapon in Jacksonville's rushing attack.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most yards in the NFL (132 per game) vs. the Falcons defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Trevor Lawrence's running effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating just 4.32 yards-per-carry vs a 5.39 mark last season.
The Falcons safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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