Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to garner 5.0 rush attempts this week, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
Opposing squads have run for the most yards in the NFL (167 per game) against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.
The Houston Texans defensive tackles project as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.0% run rate.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Trevor Lawrence's running effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a mere 4.48 yards-per-carry compared to a 5.39 figure last year.

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