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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

Trevor Lawrence has averaged 3.7 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in football when it comes to QBs (78th percentile).

Trevor Lawrence isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, taking on 13.7% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among QBs.

Trevor Lawrence's 23.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a substantial boost in his rushing prowess over last year's 17.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to run on 41.5% of their downs: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projection model to run 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football last year in run support.

This year, the weak Tennessee Titans run defense has yielded a colossal 3.97 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 28th-biggest rate in the league.

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