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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.

Trevor Lawrence has averaged 3.7 rush attempts per game this year, one of the highest rates in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (76th percentile).

Trevor Lawrence's 23.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a noteable gain in his rushing skills over last year's 17.0 rate.

Trevor Lawrence's rushing efficiency (6.08 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (75th percentile when it comes to QBs).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends rank as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 6th-least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 35.7% run rate.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

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