Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 5, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 10.5-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 46.2% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
In totaling a staggering 3.7 carries per game this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the top quarterbacks in football (75th percentile) as it relates to running utilization.
Trevor Lawrence's 24.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a meaningful progression in his running prowess over last season's 17.0 rate.

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Jaguars O-line ranks as the worst in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

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