Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a whopping 60.5 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Trevor Lawrence to accumulate 4.4 carries in this contest, on average: the 7th-most out of all QBs.
Trevor Lawrence isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, taking on 14.6% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among QBs.
Trevor Lawrence has run for substantially more yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).
Trevor Lawrence's 6.80 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year conveys a material boost in his running ability over last year's 5.39 mark.

Favors Under

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 39.6% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
As it relates to run support (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Jaguars grades out as the 3rd-worst in football last year.
This year, the formidable 49ers run defense has yielded a meager 84.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 5th-best in football.

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