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Trevor Lawrence
NFL · Player Props
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Jacksonville Jaguars
Rushing Yards
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to be a more important option in his offense's running game this week (14.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.3% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the 31st-worst collection of safeties in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have risked going for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Trevor Lawrence has rushed for many fewer yards per game (13.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).
  • Trevor Lawrence's rushing effectiveness (4.45 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (24th percentile among quarterbacks).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing just 4.38 yards-per-carry.
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