Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.29 seconds per snap.
The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (14.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (7.7% in games he has played).
The New York Giants defense has produced the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 5.40 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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