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Trevor Lawrence
NFL · Player Props
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Jacksonville Jaguars
Rushing Yards
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2022 Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC
NFL Props Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to be much more involved in his team's run game this week (15.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 5.54 yards-per-carry.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year with their run defense.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Jaguars have been the 8th-least run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 37.9% run rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
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