My Account Log Out

reorder

Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (15.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.1% in games he has played).

Trevor Lawrence's ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, notching 5.66 yards-per-carry vs a mere 4.80 figure last season.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-least yards in the league (just 81 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™