My Account Log Out
Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offense has played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.82 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to notch 4.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (19.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (9.8% in games he has played).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.9% run rate.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 106 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™