The Jaguars are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.The Jaguars have been the 9th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 44.7% red zone run rate.THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to be a more important option in his offense's running game near the end zone this week (20.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-most TDs in the league (1.25 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
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