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Trevor Lawrence
NFL · Player Props
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Jacksonville Jaguars
Rushing TD
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2022 Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC
NFL Props Trevor Lawrence Rushing TD

Trevor Lawrence Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+403/-865).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -828 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -865.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Trevor Lawrence isn't afraid to call his own number near the end zone, accounting for 18.3% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone carries since the start of last season (84th percentile among quarterbacks).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-least run-centric team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 40.6% red zone run rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 59.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-least TDs in the league (0.56 per game) vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
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