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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+436/-995).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +440 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +436.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars rank as the 8th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 49.8% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.48 seconds per snap.
  • Trevor Lawrence isn't afraid to run the ball himself near the goal line, accounting for 14.5% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts this year (75th percentile among QBs).
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most TDs in the NFL (1.55 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense this year.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties grade out as the 28th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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