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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-1010).

  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offense has played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.82 seconds per play.
  • Trevor Lawrence isn't afraid to be involved in the run game near the goal line, accounting for 16.1% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts since the start of last season (85th percentile among QBs).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-least run-centric offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.1% red zone run rate.
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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