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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in football against the Colts defense this year (78.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Colts pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, allowing 8.95 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trevor Lawrence has thrown for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (182.0) this season than he did last season (252.0).
  • Trevor Lawrence's 53.3% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a substantial reduction in his throwing precision over last year's 66.2% figure.
  • Trevor Lawrence's 5.97 adjusted yards-per-target this season reflects a meaningful drop-off in his passing efficiency over last season's 7.2% figure.

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