Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 19, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (+112/-148).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 62.3 per game on average).
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
In this game, Trevor Lawrence is predicted by the predictive model to total the 4th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.4.

Favors Under

This year, the imposing New Orleans Saints defense has given up a feeble 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Saints defense has yielded a meager 61.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.
The Saints linebackers grade out as the 8th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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