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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 253.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 246.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Trevor Lawrence to attempt 35.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

The Houston Texans defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.74 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.

Trevor Lawrence's throwing precision has declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 66.5% to 61.2%.

Trevor Lawrence's passing efficiency has diminished this year, totaling just 6.18 yards-per-target vs a 7.28 rate last year.

Opposing teams have passed for the 3rd-least yards in the league (just 203.0 per game) versus the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.

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