Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-141/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 230.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 224.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.49 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Jaguars as the 6th-quickest in the league (context-neutralized) right now.
In this week's game, Trevor Lawrence is anticipated by the projections to have the 7th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.7.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
This year, the daunting Ravens defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a puny 6.4 yards.
This year, the stout Ravens defense has surrendered the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a meager 4.3 YAC.
The Ravens safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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