Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 5, 2023 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 243.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
This year, the shaky Bengals defense has given up a staggering 267.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the worst in football.
The Bengals pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, conceding 8.69 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been atrocious this year, projecting as the worst in football.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 10.5-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In this week's contest, Trevor Lawrence is predicted by the projection model to total the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.6.

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