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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 245.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 245.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 245.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Jaguars have been the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Trevor Lawrence has thrown for many more yards per game (249.0) this year than he did last year (212.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: least in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the least yards in football (just 188.0 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in football against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (67.5%).

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, giving up 7.36 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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