Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Pass Attempts

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per play.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have risked going for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

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