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Trevor Lawrence
NFL · Player Props
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Jacksonville Jaguars
Pass Attempts
New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 23, 2022 1:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts

Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -160.

Favors Over
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.9% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • Trevor Lawrence has attempted 36.8 passes per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among QBs.
  • The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
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