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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Trevor Lawrence Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Liam Coen, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 3.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (62.1% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 129.0 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, Trevor Lawrence is projected by the predictive model to have the 7th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.9.

The Jacksonville O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.

The Texans have intercepted 0.92 balls per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best defense in the league by this statistic.

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