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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in football against the Colts defense this year (78.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends profile as the 8th-worst unit in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trevor Lawrence's 53.3% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a substantial reduction in his throwing precision over last year's 66.2% figure.

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