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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • This week, Trevor Lawrence is anticipated by the predictive model to have the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.3.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Trevor Lawrence's passing accuracy has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 66.2% to 53.7%.

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