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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Trevor Lawrence has attempted 35.3 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.1 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the fierce Browns defense has conceded a meager 62.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the smallest rate in the NFL.
  • The Browns safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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