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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.

The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

The Jacksonville O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trevor Lawrence's 61.8% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a remarkable diminishment in his throwing precision over last season's 66.2% mark.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest clip in football versus the Houston Texans defense this year (62.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The Houston cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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