Trevor Lawrence Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Completions

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+105/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
In this week's contest, Trevor Lawrence is expected by the projections to have the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.8.

Favors Under

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Houston's group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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