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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

While Trevor Lawrence has earned 8.4% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Jacksonville's run game in this week's contest at 13.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least run-centric offense in the league (37.9% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Trevor Lawrence has averaged just 1.8 rush attempts per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (25th percentile).

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the league.

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