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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • In totaling a whopping 3.5 carries per game since the start of last season, Trevor Lawrence rates among the top QBs in the league (76th percentile) as it relates to running volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 8th-least run-focused team in the NFL (37.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Trevor Lawrence has been a less important option in his offense's running game this season (3.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.7%).
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

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