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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jaguars last year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).
  • In logging a massive 3.7 rush attempts per game last year, Trevor Lawrence rates among the top quarterbacks in football (79th percentile) in regards to ground game usage.
  • Comprising 13.6% of his team's run game usage last year (78th percentile among QBs), Trevor Lawrence's mobility makes him a serious weapon in Jacksonville's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 38.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in the league last year in regard to defending the run.

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