Trevor Lawrence Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense as the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
The predictive model expects Trevor Lawrence to accrue 4.6 carries in this contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
Making up 17.3% of his team's rush attempts this year (82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Trevor Lawrence's mobility marks him as a significant weapon in Jacksonville's rushing attack.

Favors Under

The Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The Falcons safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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