Trevor Lawrence Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Trevor Lawrence has averaged 3.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (75th percentile).
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

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