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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Trevor Lawrence has averaged 3.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (75th percentile).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

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