Trevor Lawrence Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 5, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 10.5-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 46.2% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
In totaling a staggering 3.7 carries per game this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the top quarterbacks in football (75th percentile) as it relates to running utilization.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Jaguars O-line ranks as the worst in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

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