Trestan Ebner Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Trestan Ebner

NFL · Player Props

Trestan Ebner

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM EST

Analysis

Trestan Ebner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have run for the 6th-most yards in the league (134 per game) vs. the New York Giants defense since the start of last season.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 6th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.41 seconds per snap.
The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

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