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Tre'Quan Smith

Tre'Quan Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tre'Quan Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Tre'Quan Smith's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 65.3% to 56.0%.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 140.0) versus wide receivers this year.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wideouts this year, yielding 7.53 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.20 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the league.

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