Trenton Irwin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Trenton Irwin

NFL · Player Props

Trenton Irwin

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Trenton Irwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.
While Trenton Irwin has garnered 6.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Cincinnati's offense in this week's game at 14.5%.
Trenton Irwin's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a noteable progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 1.8 rate.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the tough Ravens defense has allowed a puny 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 10th-best rate in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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